Myanmar: Regime fragmentation and insurgent gains
How resistance forces are gaining territory while the military regime loses control.
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In-depth investigations on armed conflicts, geopolitical dynamics, and humanitarian crises. Policy briefings built from continuous monitoring, verified data, and proprietary analytical frameworks.
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Recent Analysis
Sudan: Collapse of peace talks in Jeddah
Mediated negotiations fail as the humanitarian crisis deepens.
Read analysisTaiwan Strait: Military drills and signals from Beijing
Decoding China’s latest military maneuvers and their strategic meaning.
Read analysisHaiti: Gang violence and institutional breakdown
Assessment of the security crisis and options for international intervention.
Read analysisGaza: Humanitarian dynamics and regional risks
Analysis of the current situation, civilian impact, and escalation scenarios.
Read analysisFeatured Analysis
Gaza: Humanitarian dynamics and regional risks
Why it matters
The humanitarian crisis deepens with over 1.8M displaced people and limited access to aid.
What changed
Intensification of ground operations and worsening humanitarian conditions.
What to watch
Possible regional spillover and ceasefire negotiations.
Ukraine: 2026 scenarios
Why it matters
The conflict enters its third year with relatively stable front lines.
What changed
Fatigue in Western support and pressure for negotiations.
What to watch
U.S. elections and the stance of new European governments.
Sudan: State collapse and armed actors
Why it matters
Severe humanitarian crisis with more than 8M people affected.
What changed
Definitive breakdown of peace talks and territorial fragmentation.
What to watch
Regional implications and refugee flows.